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the Japanese set is a reprint set, only a few cards are new

They might, we don't know that yet.

The only way to know is through early product openings. TPCi doesn't reveal that information beforehand. Justin Basil has a deck building guide for prereleases and he often posts the decklists once we discover them.

Don't forget the OG, Melony (and Grant if you count berrys)

Yes, because the last SIR can only be Grass or Fire

Because every ex pokémon in the set gets one? Why would they exclude Palossand just because it can't pose?

UPDATE 10/14/2024: REMOVED Flamigo (Gym Promo series 5), Tyme (Gym Promo series 5) and Kilowattrel (Gym Promo series 6) are being released in Surging Sparks.

If they give us Roto-Stick in Prismatic Evolution and then series 7 in SV9 then it would still work.

#240 is Hydreygon, and Flygon is from Paradise Dragona, we already knew that it didn't get a SIR

3 illustration rares, 3 special illustration rares and the 2 gold cards (since one is definitely Pikachu)

Flamigo has to be in it otherwise the number of exs don't match. That's how we discovered that Kilowattrel should be in it in the first place.

Kilowattrel ex is between Magneton and Slaking though.

UPDATE 10/11/2024: ADDED Rabsca (Gym Promo series 8), Hippopotas (Gym Promo series 8), Hippowdon (Gym Promo series 8) and TM Machine (Gym Promo series 8) to the list of Internationally-Unreleased cards.

That's not an official format.

Yes. Quagsire V, Aerodactyl, Hisuian Braviary and Peaceful Park. Only needs one to actually be holo. Not that hard to do. Better than reprinting four cards with the same artwork and that see zero play.

Ones with asterisk are guesses, if we know their number in Supercharged Breaker we can guess their number based on what cards should be in the set. Ones without asterisk and bold are confirmed through leaks and/or official reveals. One without asterisk but no bold are usually part of the same...

Terastal Festival IS the name of the japanese set, why would they trademark it if they weren't going to use it as it is?

There is no indication that this is a "tera roundup set" and we won't be getting new tera pokémon after this. We continued to get VMAX pokémon after VMAX Climax was released and VSTARs were introduced, just in smaller numbers than before.

SSP was never used in any promo cards from Sword & Shield, it was always SWSH.

They rarely reveal FAs, it's usually AR and SARs before the set releases and we get the FAs from early product openings.